I must confess I placed a small wager on Barack Obama to win the New Hampshire primary. I also must confess that I’m glad I lost.
As a result of Senator Clinton’s astounding victory (against all the pundits and pollsters) the Democrats now have a genuine two-person race on their hands. (John Edwards says he’s staying in until the convention but his influence will be less and less. Although I should point out that Edward’s staying in helps Hillary because it takes votes from Obama).
One result of the two-person race is that Obama will start to come under the kind of scrutiny that Hillary has endured for months. Up to now Obama has been happily riding the winds of change. But it’s just wind unless the candidate starts to flesh it out. “Where’s the beef?”
There is much speculation about the reasons for Hillary’s unexpected victory in New Hampshire. Was it her tears? Showing her more human side? Maybe. But my guess is that Hillary had the better ground game for getting out the vote in the state’s major cities.
So now the campaigns move on. To Michigan on January 15 where Senator Clinton will be an easy victor. Then to a sterner test in South Carolina on January 26 where half the voters are blacks. They like Hillary but will they vote against one of their own?
Who will win it all in the end? If I were placing another bet now I would have to back Hillary.
Are you glad Hillary won in New Hampshire?