CAN HILLARY STILL WIN?

The pundits said Senator Clinton needed to win Pennsylvania be about 10 points. And she did. She also gained a few delegates and reduced Obama’s lead in the popular vote as she won the last big state left in play.

So where does Hillary go from here? Well, there’s Indiana (where she’s three points ahead) and there’s North Carolina (where he’s 16 points ahead). So what are the pundits saying now? That she must win Indiana, it’s do or die or get out.

Then she must convince the super-delegates to stay neutral until after the last primary in the first week of June. She must also convince them that Obama can’t close the deal. Other than his own state of Illinois Obama has not won a big industrial state. Then she must convince them that she has a better chance of defeating McCain in the general election. If she can win Indiana and some of the other nine states left and if she can persuade the super delegates to hold their fire, she could conceivably win the nomination. But at what cost to the party? Where would Obama’s supporters go?

Do you think Hillary can still win?

If she loses Indiana should she drop out?

Does Hillary or Obama have the better chance of beating McCain?

8 Comments »

  1. 1

    I find it ironic that a Democrat requires the aristocratic body of the super-delegates to win the nomination. In the end, I doubt she’ll win, but she will try. Whatever the cost to her party.

    We do get funny videos like this, though:

  2. 2
    Barbara Says:

    What she won in Pennsylvania was five delegates more than Obama. Five. He’s still ahead and she cannot close the gap. She will say and do anything to sway superdelegates and Obama delegates into her camp. If she were to win the convention, it would drive away the black votes and a generation of young voters. Those two groups are unlikely to vote for her come November. It would make the Chicago convention of Mayor Daley vs the radicals of that day look like a tea party.

  3. 3
    jim Says:

    Clinton nor Obama will be making the decision about whether or not to step down. That decision will be made by the backroon crowd. A red herring floating around these days , is who is best equipped to beat McCain. What nonsense – even Toyko Rose could beat McCain. What does concern me is what happens in the event of a tie?
    A backroom decision could be that Clinton and Obama jointly announce they have made a decision between themselves that Clinton will run for the first 4 years and Obama in the second 4 years. Hillary’s age was a factor in her running first.
    Are there any other far out answers out there.?

  4. 4
    Peter LeBlanc Says:

    Jim, If Clinton loses to Obama she will secretly hope that McCain wins the election. Then in 4 years she will be in a position to capture the Presidency. Perhaps thats not true.

  5. 5
    jim Says:

    Peter, there are two very big elephants in the china shop out there which will influence the supers, and the supers will hope they will get support from the public if they say they will be voting for Hillary for two reasons. Florida is loaded with millions of Democratic voters. It is not the Florida Democratic Committee’s fault that the Republican government chose to change the Primary or Caucus voting dates. Even though Florida delegates may not be seated at the Democratic National Convention the supers will vote on behalf of Florida voters. The conditions for Michigan are slightly different. However there again, the Supers are not going to let millions of voters run around loose. Michigan is also pro Hillary. Here again the Supers will have good reason to vote for Hilliary.

  6. 6
    Joe Agnost Says:

    “even Toyko Rose could beat McCain.”

    Careful now… I remember hearing the same thing 4 years ago about Bush!!

    Seriously – how does bush manage to get re-elected 4 years ago? Nobody could have imagined… but the american voters managed to do the unthinkable, and they just might do it again!

  7. 7
    Cornelius T. Zen Says:

    Good morrow, all!
    “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.” -P.T. Barnum
    “None of us is as dumb as all of us.” – despair, inc.
    The American public will get the President they deserve. They’ll be too busy watching Duncing With The Stars, American Idle and Pimp My Delegate to think about who might make the best President (RON PAUL!) The parties are counting on this dumbing down of America to play to their advantage. No matter who wins, it won’t be America. From the best of the best, to the best of a bad lot. CTZen

  8. 8

    It was pretty easy to see why he was re-elected. No one paid attention that’s all. Look, people are already dismissing McCain and saying Tokyo Rose could beat him.

    Democrats are good at this type of stuff. Then they wonder why they lose.

    All I know is that they better come up with someone by June. The election is in November.

    McCain is the favorite at this time.

    Obama is running on the “idea” of the man. Not the actual ideas. That will catch up to him. He calls for change but his policies are nothing new. In fact, they are pretty basic.

    As for Hillary, well as Neil already knows, I don’t think she should even be in this thing.


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